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【美股】明日坚决买入! |
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下周一若有震荡,持有! -- ferncrest - (30 Byte) 2010-9-03 周五, 21:45 (694 reads) |
gigilang
头衔: 海归中校 声望: 博导 性别: 加入时间: 2008/05/01 文章: 1377 来自: usa 海归分: 43104
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作者:gigilang 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
The summer is coming to an end for all practical purposes, with many traders returning from their vacations to a budding sharp rally. This presents an interesting situation for traders, for the historically weakest period lies directly ahead - the September/October time frame. Hence, the question is whether last week's rally was counter-trend in nature, or whether it represents a "thrust higher" of another sustained rally towards higher highs. In our opinion, it is too early to determine - but there several critical levels that will provide additional confidence in one viewpoint or the other.
Last week's S&P 500 rally was strong in terms of price and breadth, but not volume. This remains the hallmark of all rallies off the Mach-09 lows. But our main focus is upon the developing bearish consolidation after the sharp April-to-July decline. This ongoing consolidation is now approaching major overhead resistance at the 140-day moving average, which has proven its merit as resistance to the previous two rallies. In each case, this has led to a decline into major support at 1000-to-1038 zone.
Hence, if one is bearish such as we are at this point - the risk-reward dynamic is favorable for selling short the market upon a move upwards of 1116. One's stop loss point would be a breakout above the previous recent high at 1132, at which point it would be rather clear a larger and more powerful will have begun.
作者:gigilang 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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- 【美股】明日坚决买入! -- ferncrest - (56 Byte) 2010-9-02 周四, 05:20 (3446 reads)
- 下周一若有震荡,持有! -- ferncrest - (30 Byte) 2010-9-03 周五, 21:45 (694 reads)
- WILL EARLY SEPTEMBER RALLY HAVE STAYING POWER? -- gigilang - (1446 Byte) 2010-9-05 周日, 09:08 (665 reads)
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